Space robotics
6 tracked companies; 4 companies with incident history, 6 unique documented incidents. Ranked by RobotRisk index; tick marks the industry median across companies with documented incidents, where nonzero. All industries.
Analyst brief
Space robotics shows the most uniform record in the dataset: 6 incidents across 4 of 6 tracked companies, with every single entry classified as mission-loss at severity 4. The category has no variation in type or severity mix, reflecting the binary nature of space-mission outcomes as recorded rather than a graduated failure spectrum. ispace, Intuitive Machines, Maxar Space, and Astrobotic account for the named entities, a set consistent with the small, mission-concentrated population of active lunar and deep-space robotics operators.
Company risk ranking
Index 0-100: each documented incident is weighted by severity and by how well-sourced it is, discounted as it ages (half its weight every 3 years), then summed per company and scaled on a log curve so the highest-risk company worldwide is 100. Rank in industry: position among companies in the same industry that have at least one documented incident. Band groups the index: Critical (75+), High (45-74), Elevated (15-44), Low (under 15 with at least one incident); None documented means no public incident was found, which is not proof of safety.
| Company | RobotRisk index (0-100) | Rank in industry | Band | Incidents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intuitive Machines | 51.1 |
1 of 4 | High | 2 |
| ispace | 49.3 |
2 of 4 | High | 2 |
| Astrobotic | 36.4 |
3 of 4 | Elevated | 1 |
| Maxar Space | 36.4 |
4 of 4 | Elevated | 1 |
| GITAI | 0.0 |
- | None documented | 0 |
| MDA Space | 0.0 |
- | None documented | 0 |
Recent incidents
| Sev | Date | Company | Type | Location | Incident | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S4 | 05 Jun 2025 | ispace | mission-loss | Mare Frigoris, Moon | HAKUTO-R Mission 2 (Resilience) lander crashes on second lunar landing attempt · 1 lander, total loss | NASA |
| S4 | 06 Mar 2025 | Intuitive Machines | mission-loss | Mons Mouton, Moon | IM-2 Athena lander topples over in shadowed crater, mission ends early · 1 lander, total mission loss | SpaceNews |
| S4 | 01 Mar 2024 | Maxar Space | mission-loss | — | NASA cancels $2B OSAM-1 robotic satellite-servicing mission over Maxar performance · 1 program, ~$2B mission cancelled | CNBC |
| S4 | 22 Feb 2024 | Intuitive Machines | mission-loss | lunar south pole, Moon | IM-1 Odysseus lander tips over on lunar touchdown · 1 lander | Space.com |
| S4 | 09 Jan 2024 | Astrobotic | mission-loss | — | Peregrine lunar lander propellant leak forces abandonment of Moon landing · 1 lander, total mission loss | Spaceflight Now |
| S4 | 25 Apr 2023 | ispace | mission-loss | Atlas crater, Moon | HAKUTO-R Mission 1 lander crashes into Moon · 1 lander, total loss | ispace |